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Oscars 2011: My final prediction

It will not take long before she finally begins: The 83rd Academy Awards. Much has changed since the beginning of fresh seasonal creations done, favorites went under, others rose. Most will pay most attention to the categories of Best Film and Best Director, where they will say well: The King's Speech vs. . The Social Network . However, all other categories are quite interesting - and away from the main categories, there could be some surprises.

before the big gala night begins, I would like parading them, then, the small and large battles on Oscar night. Who will win, who should win? A forecast based on Oscar-knowledge, Buzz (no, not Light year) and gut feeling.

(marked in bold nominations mean I guess a profit)

Best Film:

• "Black Swan" Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin
• "The Fighter" David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg
• "Inception" Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan
• "The Kids Are All Right" Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray
• "The King's Speech" Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin
• "127 Hours" Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson
• "The Social Network" Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin,
• "Toy Story 3" Darla K. Anderson
• "True Grit" Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen
• "Winter's Bone," Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin

comment: With the expected price of the Ensemble Theatre Company and the prices of the principal director and producer associations in best film hardly a way to The King's Speech pass by. In addition, The King's Speech is a film that can be difficult to have placed in antipathy. He will get hold of so many first rank positions on the ballots, as well as some second and third places. That makes him one, if not very courageous, very strong contender for the Oscar in this category.
Who should win? Now that I'm very open this year. Toy Story 3 would be awesome, The Social Network would be very happy, including Inception . 127 Hours would be great - and The King's speech I could find also a bad winner.

Best Director:

• "Black Swan" Darren Aronofsky
• "The Fighter" David O. Russell
• "The King's Speech" Tom Hooper
• "The Social Network" David Fincher
• "True Grit" Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

comment : Tom Hooper would be considered winners of the DGA-safe Tips but I can very well imagine that Fincher provides a little surprise. He is an experienced, respected director, the one now at a suitable time can be given to his deserved honor can come. Among the nominees he is also my desire winner just ahead of Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan .

Best Actor:

• Javier Bardem in 'Biutiful'
• Jeff Bridges in "True Grit"
• Jesse Eisenberg in "The Social Network
• Colin Firth in" The King's Speech "
• James Franco in "127 Hours"

comment : Colin Firth, Colin Firth, Colin Firth. I can not imagine how he will not win, after all the prizes he was clearing. My wish he would also be winners. Or James Franco.

Best Actress:

• Annette Bening in "The Kids Are All Right"
• Nicole Kidman in "Rabbit Hole"
• Jennifer Lawrence in "Winter's Bone"
• Natalie Portman in "Black Swan"
• Michelle Williams in "Blue Valentine"

Comment: Natalie Portman and is supposed to win .

Best Supporting Actor:

• Christian Bale in "The Fighter"
• John Hawkes in "Winter's Bone"
• Jeremy Renner in "The Town"
• Mark Ruffalo in "The Kids Are All Right"
• Geoffrey Rush in "The King's Speech"

comment : Andrew Garfield and Justin Timberlake should have been at least nominated. Of the nominees, Geoffrey Rush, I wish it the most, and I think he has in fact just the nose in front of Christian Bale. Very scarce.

Best Supporting Actress:

• Amy Adams in "The Fighter"
• Helena Bonham Carter in "The King's Speech"
• Melissa Leo in "The Fighter"
• Hailee Steinfeld in "True Grit"
• Jacki Weaver in "Animal Kingdom"

Comment: So I was disappointed by True Grit , Steinfeld deserves the Oscar. I have long hesitated whether I should tap it or Melissa Leo. Leo won the more important indicator of prices, but somehow I fear at the Oscars with a split of the Academy very popular Amy Adams. Nevertheless, I think that Leo will win. Bonham Carter is in The King's Speech to normal, as they will win.

Best Adapted Screenplay :

• "127 Hours" Written by Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy
• "The Social Network" screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
• "Toy Story 3 screenplay by Michael Arndt; story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
• " True Grit "written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
• "Winter's Bone" for the screen adapted by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

comment : If using Toy Story 3 first time, a cartoon of his screenplay for the Oscar, it would be a dream, but I am also extremely happy for The Social Network , the highest probably wins.

Best Original Screenplay:

• "Another Year" Written by Mike Leigh
• "The Fighter" screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson, Story of Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson
• "Inception" Written by Christopher Nolan
• "The Kids Are All Right" Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
• "The King's Speech" screenplay by David Seidler

comment: I wish the Christopher Nolan for the whole heart Inception , but I fear that The King's Speech in the lead has . He is simply too popular ...

Best Art Direction:

• "Alice in Wonderland" production designer Robert Stromberg, Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara
• "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1" production designer, Stuart Craig; set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
• "Inception" production designer, Guy Hendrix Dryas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
• "The King's Speech" production designer, Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
• "True Grit" production designer Jess Gonchor, Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh

Comment: The same game again. I want to see Inception , but I think it will make The King's Speech .

Best Cinematography :

• "Black Swan" Matthew Libatique
• "Inception" Wally Pfister
• "The King's Speech" Danny Cohen
• "The Social Network" Jeff Cronenweth
• "True Grit" Roger Deakins

comment : Inception should win but who also very well photographed True Grit is because at some point must Roger Deakins won yes!

Best Costumes :

• "Alice in Wonderland," Colleen Atwood
• "I Am Love" Antonella Cannarozzi
• "The King's Speech" Jenny Beavan
• "The Tempest" Sandy Powell
• True Grit "Mary Zophres

comment : Statistically, would win Atwood, and Alice in there was also impressive to see costumes, which also for victory speaks. I do not begrudge him it, too!

Best Editing:

• "Black Swan" Andrew Weisblum
• "The Fighter" Pamela Martin
• "The King's Speech" Tariq Anwar
• "127 Hours" Jon Harris
• "The Social Network" Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Comment: I miss the nomination for Scott Pilgrim and Inception am, but among the nominees for the winning favorites. With Eddie (the craft-union rate) in the neck, it seems a done deal.

Best Makeup:

• "Barney's Version" Adrien Morot
• "The Way Back" Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
• "The Wolfman Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

comment: Often just the most expensive make-up will be honored, and that speaks for Wolfman . This also benefits from Rick Baker, the most awarded artist of Oscar history. Who will win? Pfff ... Baker, easy for my prediction is right.

Best Score:

• "Train Your Dragon Made Easy "John Powell
• " Inception "Hans Zimmer
• " The King's Speech "Alexandre Desplat
• " 127 Hours "AR Rahman
• " The Social Network 'Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

comment : It I'm deeply distressed that my worst score to predict a winner from this field, but I can not help it. The King's Speech is popular, Desplat of me for reasons difficult to explain an enormously revered composer and therefore will win his Durchschnittsgeklimper. Who deserves it more? Everyone else! Who deserves it the most? Hans Zimmer for Inception , but for How to Train Your Dragon I would cheer as well.

Best Song:

• "Coming Home" from "Country Strong" Music and lyrics by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey Menken
• "I See the Light" of "Rapunzel" Music by Alan, Text by Glenn Slater
• "If I Rise" from "127 Hours" music by AR Rahman, lyrics by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
• "We Belong Together," "Toy Story 3" Music and lyrics by Randy Newman

comment: Everyone says We Belong Together before, but Newman has his Oscar Apology already received, and for a true-earwig ( Without you I is not glad of life from Monsters, Inc.). Thus one can not compare We Belong Together . No, it's time for Alan Menken recovers. Uncertain voters could be won for him because Rapunzel otherwise has no Oscar chances. I hope it comes Sun Earnestly.

Best Sound Editing:

• "Inception" Richard King
• "Toy Story 3" Tom Myers, Michael Silvers
• "Tron: Legacy" Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
• "True Grit" Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey
• "Unstoppable" Mark P. Stoeckinger

comment : Worth it somehow all (it was a good sounding cinema year * g *), for Tron: Legacy and Toy Story 3 I liked from studio would cheer for Inception because he probably needs every Oscar, he can get the next night. For his dreamlike, yet clear sound and the juggling of dialogue, music and action I'm going for the latter.

Best Sound:

• "Inception" Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
• "The King's Speech" Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
• "Salt" Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
• "The Social Network" Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
• "True Grit" Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

Comment: See above. Mostly. All nominations are okay, I would look at the most but for Inception and The Social Network .

Best Special Effects:

• "Alice in Wonderland," Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
• "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Toded - Part 1" Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
• "Hereafter" Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojanski and Joe Farrell
• "Inception" Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
• "Iron Man 2" Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

comment : win Inception to win.

Best Animated Film:

• "How to Train Your Dragon" Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
• "The Illusionist" Sylvain Chomet
• "Toy Story 3" Lee Unkrich

Comment: He is as Best Picture Nominees goodness gracious! And it also wishes men's winner, as my two favorite Film 2010. Would Rapunzel but nominated ...


Best Documentary:

• "Banksy - Exit through the Gift Shop" Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz
• "Gas Land" Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
• "Inside Job" Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
• "Restrepo" Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
• "Wasteland" Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

comment : Gift Shop should be a new Bowling for Columbine documentary as hotly debated, with entertainment factor. I hope so.

Best Animated Short Film:

• "Day & Night" Teddy Newton
• "The Gruffalo" Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
• "Let's Pollute "Geefwee Boedoe
• " The Lost Thing "Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
• " Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary) "Bastien Dubois

Comment: Pixar last won a decade ago. With the mostly quiet mix of animation and computer animation, it should finally work again.

And now ... Rate Round!

Best Foreign Language Film:

• "Biutiful" Mexico
• "Dogtooth" Greece
• "In a better world" Denmark
• "Incendies" Canada
• "Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)," Algeria

Best Short Film:

• "The Confession" Tanel Toom
• "The Crush" Michael Creagh
• God of Love " Luke Matheny
• "Na Wewe" Ivan Goldschmidt
• "Wish 143" Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

Best documentary short:

• "Killing in the Name"
• "Poster Girl "
• " Strangers No More
• Sun Come Up "
• " The Warriors of Qiugang "

from about 1 clock to-night I shall live blogging! I'm curious to see how well my nose this year ...